Today we want to build on our recent seasonal US equity volatility analysis to see what it signals for the S&P 500’s performance in Q4 2021. The S&P was up +20.4…
Category: Blog
Q3 Performance Data, Our Q4 Picks
With Q3 2021 ending in 4 days, today we will take an advance look at what worked and didn’t in the third quarter and how asset price returns are shaping…
FOMC Meeting/Powell Presser: By The Numbers
Three thoughts on today’s FOMC meeting and Chair Powell press conference for “Data”: #1: Powell’s comments reminded us of an important fact that doesn’t get enough attention: the Fed is…
Urban Unemployment, Slow RTO, Used Car Inflation
With capital markets a bit calmer today, we’ll update a few important macro topics we have been tracking in recent months. #1: Regional trends in US unemployment. While the national level…
Time to Worry About Q3 Earnings?
We’ll focus today’s Data section on just one topic: why are Wall Street analysts reducing their Q3 US corporate earnings expectations and what does that mean for equity prices? Here is…
Comparing US/UK Post-Pandemic Social Trends
Every country is recovering from the pandemic in its own unique way, but the US is remaking its economy much differently than other developed nations. One reason is due to the…