This year has been exceptionally volatile for US equities, with the S&P 500 down over 3 percent on 8 days. That’s over 3 standard deviations (1 percentage point apiece) away…
Category: Blog
How the Pros Call The Bottom
You have probably seen and/or heard dozens of market commentators discuss their views on where the S&P 500 bottoms in the current market cycle. Some say we are at the…
Near Term Outlook Survey Results
Today we will take the entire Morning Briefing to discuss the results of last week’s “DataTrek Near Term Outlook Survey”. Thanks to all who took the time to complete it! A…
Only 2 Things Matter to Stocks Right Now
Whether or not Federal Reserve monetary policy eventually causes an official US “recession”, every US equity investor must have a perspective on two key questions: The first relates to US…
Spotting Entry Points With the VIX
How can we tell when US large cap stocks have hit near term highs and lows? Whether you are a trader or investor, this has been a critical issue all…
The S&P 500 and Recession: Where Do Stocks Bottom?
The most important macroeconomic question facing investors today is “Can the Federal Reserve tame inflation without causing a recession?” As much as US stock prices are down this year, they…