Two items for “Data” today: Topic #1: Today’s US Consumer Price Index report and its effect on market expectations for future Federal Reserve monetary policy as well as an analysis…
Category: Business
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The +36 VIX US Equity Rally – What Now?
Three “Data” items today: Topic #1: The bounce in US large caps since the +36 CBOE VIX Index close on March 7th (36.5, to be exact). There are 3 VIX levels…
Q1 GDP, US Gasoline Usage, Retail Trader Flows
Three “Data” items today: Topic #1: The latest Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimate for Q1 2022 is out. We prefer this algorithmic model to human economists for 2 reasons. First, it tends…
How Modestly Positive S&P Years Work
Even after today’s rally, the S&P 500 is still down 6.2 percent year-to-date, so will US large caps be able to squeeze out a gain this year? There’s still a long…
WSJ: "Stocks Fall After Giving Up Early Gains"
Excerpt from the Wall Street Journal quoting DataTrek co-founder Nick Colas: …. “Whenever we see equities churn lower, as they have this year, we are mindful that the risk of…
MarketWatch: "Stock-market investors can’t count on the’Fed put’ — Why policy makers aren’t seen rushing to rescue"
Excerpt from MarketWatch quoting DataTrek co-founder Nick Colas: …. “But this time around, not only is inflation running at a roughly 40-year high, unemployment sits at 3.9% and the economy…